Basins of Attraction: Population Dynamics with Two Stable 4-Cycles

Shandelle M. Henson, R. F. Costantino, Robert A. Desharnais, J. M. Cushing and Brian Dennis


Abstract

We use the concepts of composite maps, basins of attraction, basin switching, and saddle fly-by’s to make the ecological hypothesis of the existence of multiple attractors more accessible to experimental scrutiny. Specifically, in a periodically forced insect population growth model we identify multiple attractors, namely, two locally stable 4-cycles. Using the model-predicted basins of attraction, we examine data time series from a Tribolium experiment for evidence of the multiple attractors. We conclude that the multiple attractor hypothesis together with demographic stochasticity accounts for the experimental observations.



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Henson, S.M., Costantino, R.F., Desharnais, R.A., Cushing, J.M., and Dennis, B. 2002. Basins of attraction: population dynamics with two stable 4-cycles. Oikos 98: 17-24.

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This work was supported in part by grants DMS-9306271, DMS-9319073, DMS-9625576, DMS-9616205, DMS-9981374, DMS-9973126, DMS-9981458, and DMS-9981423 from the U.S. National Science Foundation. All opinions expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NSF.

  Copyright © 1997-2002, Robert A Desharnais
Department of Biological Sciences
California State University, Los Angeles, CA, 90032-8201
Email: rdeshar@calstatela.edu